Jason Trost - Notes Shorter pieces on prediction markets, talks, and things seen up close. https://jasontrost.com/notes/ en-us Wed, 22 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT Wed, 22 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT Notes from the Audience at Semafor World Economy 2026 Three people I watched from the audience at Semafor World Economy 2026: Gianni Infantino, John Kerry, and Steve Bannon. https://jasontrost.com/notes/semafor-world-economy-2026-audience.html https://jasontrost.com/notes/semafor-world-economy-2026-audience.html Wed, 22 Apr 2026 14:00:00 GMT jason@smarkets.com (Jason Trost) Three days at Semafor World Economy 2026 in Washington, DC last week. I spoke on one panel; mostly I was there to listen.

Three people I watched from the audience I'm still thinking about: Gianni Infantino on FIFA's dynamic ticket pricing, John Kerry in a business register rather than a political one, and Steve Bannon in full conviction.

Read the full notes

]]> Notes from Semafor World Economy 2026 Notes from my panel at Semafor World Economy 2026 on prediction markets, mention contracts, and why the industry needs an adult in the room. https://jasontrost.com/notes/semafor-world-economy-2026.html https://jasontrost.com/notes/semafor-world-economy-2026.html Tue, 21 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT jason@smarkets.com (Jason Trost) Last week I sat on a panel called "The Next Era of Innovation" at Semafor World Economy 2026 in Washington, DC. Yinka Adegoke interviewed me about Smarkets and prediction markets.

A few things I said that I want to write down: on whether prediction markets are gambling, on sensitive mention contracts, on where the business actually is, and on prediction markets as news infrastructure.

Read the full notes

]]>